Cüneyt Ülsever - English
Cüneyt Ülsever - English
Cüneyt Ülsever - EnglishYazarın Tüm Yazıları

Why is the March 29 election important?

I have been writing for quite some time that Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is spending all his energy on the March 29 local polls and he sees everything through this angle, including the stand-by agreement soon to be made with the International Monetary Fund, or IMF, or any vital deal for the economic crisis or the developments in the Middle East that are of a great deal of interest to our foreign policy.

He is so very preoccupied with the upcoming elections, so much that he even doesn’t care about the imbalance in foreign politics or the economic crisis. Erdoğan is sincerely sad for the children killed in Gaza but his sincerity toward Hamas is not real at all.

Mr. Prime Minster is exaggerating his "love for Hamas" for the sake of internal politics. Why is he internalizing this election, which has nothing to do with his being in power? Why he is almost obsessed with the local polls? Because he set his mind that March 29 is a turning point!

Is this simply an unjustifiable obsession or is it exaggeration of the thread based on facts that he feels? I think it is both.

Some newspapers are just realizing that since the day I have begun to write, Mr. Prime Minister is extremely disturbed by Numan Kurtulmuş being the new leader of the Saadet Party. The following bothers him:

1) Mr. Prime Minister knows that the Justice and Development Party, or AKP, and local administrations in particular, have almost totally surrendered to the corruption cases. In this perspective, he is being disturbed by a new file everyday revealed by Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu of the Republican People’s Party, or CHP. But Erdoğan is not worried about losing votes to the CHP. I do support the CHP’s moves to normalize the politics but don’t think that the CHP will steal away the votes of conservatives significantly on March 29. The reason is that the CHP needs time to prove itself to conservatives as a party that has excluded them for long. These moves seem something attached to the CHP’s party program later on.

However, people think Kılıçdaroğlu is sincere and the word "corruption" is being uttered with the AKP more frequently. Since the CHP is not staunchly defending laicism this time, attention is directed to the "corruption."

2) At this point, the Numan Kurtulmuş factor comes into play. And the leader of the National View, which was frozen around the 2 percent voting percentage, stands up and stresses, "A woman wearing a headscarf waiting at the bus-stop is different from the other wearing a headscarf and driving a jeep." This excellent allegory hits the AKP in the heart because the women wearing headscarves and waiting for buses at the station realize better every day that they have created the covered woman driving a jeep and that they internalize the Saadet Party since the old days. And they had given up hope on the former Saadet Party officials but now there is this young and dynamic leader ahead of them.

3) The Saadet Party is the one that can best explain to the women with headscarves or to the women in black-chadoors that the AKP, in the last seven years, couldn’t find a remedy for the economy, has worked itself only and deceived people through free coal, food and now white goods distributions. And the very same Saadet Party can also explain that the AKP has already screwed up in the headscarf ban in universities as much as in the co-efficient problem of the Religious High School graduated in the university entrance exam.

The fear of Mr. Prime Minister is not to lose the control to the Saadet Party but to lose considerable amount of votes to them. For instance, if such a development helped Kılıçdaroğlu’s being elected and the Saadet Party to win 8-10 percent of votes, then the AKP is really in big trouble.

Think for a second, the corruption files in the hands of the Istanbul Municipality will be handed over to the CHP and the Saadet Party claims a share in conservative votes!

Can you now see the reason behind Mr. Prime Minister’s uncontrollable anger?
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